Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.892129e-05 0.000046 0.000054 0.000063 0.000074 0.000085 0.000097
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.943261e-05 0.000038 0.000049 0.000061 0.000075 0.000092 0.000111
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.336592e-05 0.000033 0.000045 0.000059 0.000077 0.000097 0.000122
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.957454e-05 0.000030 0.000042 0.000059 0.000080 0.000104 0.000135
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.617377e-05 0.000026 0.000040 0.000058 0.000081 0.000109 0.000145
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.351583e-05 0.000024 0.000038 0.000057 0.000082 0.000114 0.000155
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.122353e-05 0.000021 0.000035 0.000056 0.000083 0.000117 0.000163
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.051854e-06 0.000018 0.000033 0.000053 0.000082 0.000119 0.000169
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.107987e-06 0.000016 0.000030 0.000051 0.000080 0.000119 0.000173
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.750005e-06 0.000014 0.000028 0.000049 0.000080 0.000121 0.000178
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.371051e-06 0.000014 0.000028 0.000051 0.000085 0.000130 0.000193
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.545904e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000051 0.000086 0.000134 0.000201
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.656081e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000051 0.000088 0.000141 0.000215
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.646693e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000048 0.000088 0.000143 0.000223
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.930938e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000047 0.000088 0.000146 0.000232
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.497247e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000047 0.000090 0.000152 0.000245
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.083954e-06 0.000006 0.000020 0.000046 0.000090 0.000156 0.000255
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.774017e-07 0.000006 0.000018 0.000045 0.000091 0.000160 0.000265
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 5.304757e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000044 0.000091 0.000163 0.000274
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.216266e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000042 0.000090 0.000165 0.000280
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.690351e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000040 0.000088 0.000164 0.000283
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 8.893207e-08 0.000003 0.000013 0.000038 0.000087 0.000166 0.000290
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 7.305874e-08 0.000003 0.000013 0.000040 0.000092 0.000176 0.000309